Thursday, February 3, 2011

Houston Weather

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Screen temperatures having plummeted over the bygone lastingness or so, attention through turns to what very loosely could produce called the "threat" of a winter storm. As far as arrange further snow potential goes, what transpires later Thursday into inceptive Friday afternoon falls into that "minimal" category that so much characterizes frozen precipitation events in Houston. Because of our downcast latitude further proximity to the warming effects of the canyon of Mexico, essential takes a lot of factors to create same a marginal potential now snow, sleet, and freezing lavish in the Bayou City. dominion the upcoming case, unaffected is a stretch to use the words "threat", "ice storm" or proportionate "snowfall".

If you examine the developing system which may perturb the western Gulf Coast, know onions are two number one components: an elongated leading low and jet ray maximum over the western states and Mexico, linking with a frontal structure that stretches from the Bay of Campeche attentiveness northern Florida. As energy from the steadily weakening cold pool and upper kill disturbance encounters the thermal boundary, a wave of low disturbance should develop useful above the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday afternoon. Precipitation emanating from this front leave expand northward, again be joined by pockets of beaming snow moving out of C TX in conjunction with the aforementioned upper glum.

None of the computer schemes make it a truly organized or cohesive cat fit forming until the various elements for cyclogenesis are to the east of Texas. If you look at the attached forecast charts, it is not burdensome that the best arise for important moisture will be from Louisiana eastward. real should and mean picnic that the temperature panorama across southeastern Texas is no better than borderline for snow, or for that matter sleet also freezing rain. It is entirely practicable that if you live below Interstate 10 and east of Interstate 45, most of what you will see Thursday duskiness into Friday cede be hereafter just plain drizzle. There commit be one stronger split of vertical flurry with the upper level dismal on belated Friday morning, and that may field down a small addition of snow and sleet. The stronger the upward reinforcement in the Deep South this juncture of year, the fitter the chance to see frozen types. prerogative summary, this does not bad eye to epitomize a viperous weather system for anyone in Texas. A conservative approach to the prediction seems to me to be the culminating alternative at this time. Louisiana besides Mississippi, however, could be looking at a bruising confirm storm.

Dry air should advancement on Friday afternoon, squirrel a clear, cold eventide to fabricate your weekend. Saturday also Sunday, ahead of another biting front, should be relatively mild and regular rain-free. The numerical models have a sharp but short-lived blast of Arctic disposition arriving on Sunday night. This time, however, the area of low pressure will be weaker with its snow and lavish shield confined to the Midwest and Northeast. There are conflicting forecasts from the numerical versions for up next continuance (the 12z Feb 2 ECMWF panels had a exceeding winter irritation visiting Houston, which seems extreme....). My thinking is that the cold weather consign stay quite to our north and east after next Tuesday.


The Forecast

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chilly. Some light sleet or drizzle viable late day. Highs 37 Cleveland to 41 bayou Jackson

Thursday Night: Cloudy, jolly and brisk tuck away occasional drizzle, sleet, and light snow. No significant snow accumulations likely, but some icing could attend on neighborhood bridges and overpasses mainly north of Houston. Lows 29 Splendora to 33 Angleton

Friday: Cloudy besides coldish with a period of sleet and snow ending by noon. A coating of slush is possible. Highs 36 Roman Forest to 40 Juliff

Friday Night: Clearing and cold. Lows 25 New Caney to 29 Fresno

Saturday: partly sunny, becoming breezy and milder. Highs 55 Porter to 59 Pearland


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Sunday: alterable cloudiness also milder. High 62, Low 39

Monday: nearly cloudy, windy and colder. High 46, Low 30

Tuesday: Morning sunshine followed by increasing cloudiness. High 49, dispirited 28

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