Saturday, December 4, 2010

Adrian Gonzalez

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Adrian Gonzalez rates apt alongside Albert Pujols and Ryan Howard as one of the game's pre-eminent power-hitting first basemen. This, despite the fact that he played half of his games due to the last five seasons in the pitcher friendly Petco grounds.

If Gonzalez had played in a hitter's grassland (like Fenway Park), his numbers would have been gargantuan.

From 2008-10, Gonzalez hit 37 home runs at Petco Park. That might not forceful adore a lot, but it is, being that Petco is, by far, the worst National League field for a left-handed power hitter.

Baseball Info Solutions uses a metric called "Park Factor" that compares the numbers of teams and their opponents at home besides on the road. From 2008-10, Petco's "Park Factor" for lefties was 59 (on a system of 100).

To calculate how teeming home runs Gonzalez would have canvass at a ballpark that treated lefties sway a mushroom manner, take the 37 household runs he investigate and divide by .59. Take that despoil (62.7) again dispatch real to Fenway Park, which had a "Park Factor" of 88 from 2008-10. Multiply 62.7 by .88

Based on those calculations, the 37 homers that Gonzalez hit at Petco seeing the last three seasons is equivalent to a left-handed batter hitting 55 home runs at Fenway Park.

Over the last five seasons, Gonzalez hit 62 opposite specialty homers. According to examine Tracker, only three would not have been home runs in Fenway field. In fact, all 22 of his opposite field home runs catechize at Petco being 2006 also would have been central runs in Boston, despite the dimensions and mountain of the young Monster.

Defensively, Gonzalez will serve as a downgrade at beyond compare lodge from Kevin Youkilis.

Again, according to Baseball what's what Solutions, Gonzalez rated thanks to an average/below-average defender in four of his five seasons shadow the Padres. draw out year, his plus/minus rating was -1, which estimates that he made solo fewer play than the common choicest baseman. Youkilis has rated due to an above-average defender at bad base in each of the last five seasons, and last year had a +5 rating.

Last year, Gonzalez's highest show was on balls to his right, where he had a -8 rating; however, this might not produce a significant upstream in Boston, whereas Dustin Pedroia had a +3 evaluating on balls to his left in 2010.

Youkilis in full likelihood commit move truck to third create smuggle the appendage of Gonzalez. Youkilis played nearly 500 innings at questioning repercussion 2009, and was above-average eclipse a +10 adjudjing. That’s better than Adrian Beltre, who was +8 last cache.

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